Moment of change

How Peer Relationships Become Toxic or Healthy Again: An Explanation Using Catastrophe Theory

Abstract

School bullying stems from the dynamics of peer relationships, which can manifest as nonlinear shifts between healthy and toxic states. The project aims to study the moment of change in bullying dynamics using catastrophe theory, an approach borrowed from complexity theory. Quantitative measurements will be supplemented by qualitative interviews to clarify how adolescents themselves understand how bullying arises. This project will help us understand the key precursors and processes associated with the moment when a catastrophic change occurs in the classroom.

Main assumptions

The sample included first-year students from 11 selected high school classes. Data obtained through a combination of regular daily self-assessments, sociometric measurements, and physiological data will make it possible to monitor
moments of change for each student and for entire classes, thereby helping to better describe
peer-group dynamics that can lead to bullying.

Data

The final sample includes data from approximately 250 students
in the intensive measurement group (an 8-week EMA study) and approximately 300 students
in the control group, for whom baseline and follow-up surveys were administered.

Main findings

—WILL BE ADDED—

Project timeline

02/2024
02/2024
Response to the grant call, submission of an application
12/2024
12/2024
Securing project funding
04/2025
04/2025
Preparation and translation of a codebook for measuring instruments
05/2025
05/2025
Pilot testing
05/2025
05/2025
Preparation of the analytical procedure
07/2025
07/2025
Project pre-registration with the OSF
11/2025
11/2025
Data collection
12/2025
12/2025
Evaluation of rewards for respondents
01/2026
01/2026
Data cleaning
02/2026
02/2026
Interviews with students
06/2026
06/2026
Data analysis
12/2027
12/2027
Writing articles and other outputs
12/2027
12/2027
Communication of findings

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